13 March 2001
Hyde Says Verification Key to Dealing with N. Korea
Echoing President Bush, the chairman of the House International
Relations Committee says that verification is the key to dealing with
North Korea.
Representative Henry Hyde (Republican of Illinois) explained in March
13 remarks to the American Enterprise Institute that verification
means more than the ability to technically verify Pyongyang's
adherence to agreements.
More important "is the demonstrated willingness of the North Korean
government to embrace and abide by adequate verification measures,"
Hyde said.
The United States has frequently been advised that if there is to be
progress in cultivating ties with the communist regime it "must be
prepared to repeatedly give the North Korean government signs of
reassurance and understanding," Hyde said.
"But this is a two-way street," he continued. "If the North Korean
government is genuinely interested in improving relations with the
United States, it too must accept that it needs to give us signs of
reassurance and understanding."
Hyde said that the best way for North Korea to show commitment to
cooperation is to "acknowledge the need for verification, to cease
resisting its existing verification obligations, and to positively
embrace the concept as a way of demonstrating to the world that it no
longer has anything to hide."
With the Bush administration's emphasis on verification, Hyde said,
"it is now possible to achieve a [domestic] consensus over policy
toward North Korea."
With such a consensus, he continued, "our diplomats could approach
implementation of the Agreed Framework with new assurance and with a
solid foundation from which to address missile proliferation and other
looming issues with North Korea."
Following is the text of Hyde's remarks, as provided by the House
International Relations Committee Web site:
Remarks of Chairman Henry J. Hyde
To the American Enterprise Institute
Conference On North Korea
March 13, 2001
I welcome this opportunity to express my views on one of the most
difficult national security challenges facing our country, the
question of how to deal with North Korea.
There has probably been no more contentious foreign policy issue than
this over the past decade. It has given rise to bitter debates between
Republicans and Democrats, and between the Administration and
Congress. These disagreements and the resulting mistrust have undercut
our diplomats and diminished the ability of our nation to favorably
influence events in the region. It is my fondest hope that, with a new
Administration, we can put most of these disagreements behind us and
move forward with a new approach toward North Korea that can command
broad support here in the United States and among our allies.
The lynchpin of U.S. policy toward North Korea for the last six and a
half years has been the Agreed Framework. It is critically important
to remember why the Clinton Administration entered into this
agreement. It was because the International Atomic Energy Agency found
incontrovertible evidence through on-site inspections that North Korea
was violating its legal obligations as a non-nuclear weapons state
under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. According to the IAEA's
measurements, North Korea had separated plutonium from the fuel rods
of its nuclear reactor in quantities sufficient to build nuclear
weapons, and was concealing this fact in its official declarations to
the IAEA.
North Korea denied these allegations, but the Clinton Administration
rejected these denials, and this gave rise to a crisis that some say
almost led to war in the spring of 1994. The Agreed Framework got us
past the crisis. It did so not by resolving the dispute between North
Korea and the IAEA, but rather by postponing resolution of the dispute
to a point well in the future.
Against this background -- essentially one of alleged violations of
international agreements in the pursuit of weapons of mass destruction
-- many of us in Congress became increasingly concerned after 1994
about the unseemly enthusiasm in certain quarters to construct nuclear
reactors in North Korea.
The Wall Street Journal once analogized this to the story told in The
Bridge on the River Kwai: British POWs, ordered by their Japanese
captors to build a bridge, became so caught up in the project that
they almost forgot whose side they were on in the war.
Over the years, many of us in Congress came to perceive that a similar
psychology had taken hold with regard to the Agreed Framework.
Skeptics in Congress had few means to slow down the nuclear project,
because it is not funded by the United States. So instead we used the
only leverage available to us: we restricted U.S. funding for the
purchase of heavy fuel oil under the Agreed Framework.
In retrospect, this probably reinforced the Bridge on the River Kwai
mindset that had taken hold among champions of the Agreed Framework.
And the more determined they seemed to be to get on with nuclear
reactor construction in North Korea, the more worried we became that
they would not allow concerns about North Korean compliance to stand
in the way of completing the nuclear reactors.
I am pleased that President Bush has cut through much of this mistrust
with a single word that we have heard frequently over the past week:
verification.
I do not understand the President to mean by this merely our ability
to technically verify any agreement. While essential to any agreement,
technical verification reveals little of the real intentions of those
signing the accord. Far more important is the demonstrated willingness
of the North Korean government to embrace and abide by adequate
verification measures.
We are frequently advised that, if there is to be progress in our
relations, we must be prepared to repeatedly give the North Korean
government signs of reassurance and understanding. But this is a
two-way street. If the North Korean government is genuinely interested
in improving relations with the United States, it too must accept that
it needs to give us signs of reassurance and understanding.
Specifically, what we need is a signal of a genuine break with the
past and a commitment to cooperation in the future. The best way for
the North Korean government to send such a signal, perhaps the only
way for it to do so, is to acknowledge the need for verification, to
cease resisting its existing verification obligations, and to
positively embrace the concept as a way of demonstrating to the world
that it no longer has anything to hide.
So long as the North Koreans view verification as a problem, as
something to be resisted, we can only suspect that there has been no
break with the past, and no commitment to genuine cooperation in the
future. And if there has been no break with the past, President Bush's
insistence on verification will make it very unlikely that the nuclear
reactors will ever be completed in North Korea.
This is because, under the terms of the Agreed Framework, the reactors
are not to be completed until North Korea and the IAEA resolve the
dispute that gave rise to the crisis in the first place. Either the
IAEA must be persuaded that its measurements were wrong, or North
Korea has to admit that it has been misleading the world for years and
reveal the full extent of its nuclear weapons program. If neither of
these things happens, and we continue to insist on verification, then
under the terms of the Agreed Framework the reactors should not be
completed.
Indeed, I would go so far as to predict that if the Administration
continues to insist on strict verification -- as I expect it will --
we will not have to ask the North Koreans to substitute conventional
power plants for the nuclear plants, because eventually they will ask
us to make this change.
The Administration also is correct in raising concerns about
verification of any agreement that might be proposed regarding missile
proliferation and deployment by North Korea. The track record of North
Korea in this regard is very clear. Accordingly it would be foolhardy
to enter such an agreement without provisions allowing on-site
monitoring and inspection at least as intrusive as that permitted
under our various arms control agreements with Russia.
I have two additional concerns about any missile agreement with North
Korea that should be taken into account. To the degree any such deal
involves the launching of satellites for North Korea, we need to make
sure there is no technology transfer. The purpose of any such
agreement would be to terminate North Korea's missile program, not to
run a seminar for them on how to build missiles and launch payloads
into space. But if such an agreement were not structured properly, it
could easily become a seminar for them, just as our space launch
activities in China helped upgrade Beijing's missile capability.
In addition, I worry a great deal about the compensation that North
Korea is demanding in connection with an agreement on missile
proliferation. Reportedly they have said we need to pay them $1
billion per year to stop proliferating.
I understand that this may just be an opening position in a
negotiation, and it is unclear what the source of such funds would be.
Additionally, North Korea has demanded reparations from Japan as a
precondition to normalizing diplomatic relations. Such reparations
could ultimately total in the billions of dollars. Also, there is the
prospect of lending from international financial institutions.
Access to any of these sources of money could effectively guarantee
the survival of the North Korean regime. We need to carefully consider
the implications of allowing the West to become the principal prop
holding up the North Korean regime.
With the Bush Administration's strong emphasis on verification, I
believe it is now possible to achieve a consensus over policy toward
North Korea between Republicans and Democrats and between the
Administration and Congress. Indeed, I would encourage the
Administration and Congress to consider entering a "Bipartisan Accord
on North Korea" to cement this consensus in place.
The precedent for such an approach is, of course, the "Bipartisan
Accord on Central America" that Secretary of State James Baker
negotiated with Congress at the beginning of the first Bush
Administration. That Bipartisan Accord successfully got us past a
foreign policy logjam between the Administration and Congress similar
to the one that we have had on North Korea.
We today have Democrats in the House like Congressman Ed Markey, who
have been leaders on this issue and who I know would be pleased to
join in such an effort with regard to North Korea.
With a domestic political consensus in place, our diplomats could
approach implementation of the Agreed Framework with new assurance and
with a solid foundation from which to address missile proliferation
and other looming issues with North Korea.
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