21 September 2000
Intelligence Official Schindler Says Iran Seeks Nuclear-Related Info from Foreign Sources
Iran goes to great lengths to hide its Weapons of Mass Destruction
(WMD) programs from the U.S. intelligence community and is actively
pursuing the acquisition of fissile material and the wherewithal to
form the material into nuclear weapons, a U.S. intelligence official
told a Senate Governmental Affairs subcommittee September 21.
A. Norman Schindler, deputy director of the Director of Central
Intelligence (DCI) Nonproliferation Center, told the International
Security, Proliferation and Federal Services Subcommittee that Iran is
seeking nuclear-related material and expertise from several foreign
sources, including Russia. He said that although the government in
Tehran says it is concentrating on civilian research and nuclear
energy programs, in that guise it is developing whole facilities "that
could be used to support the production of fissile material for a
nuclear weapon."
Schindler also testified that Iran has a large and growing chemical
weapon (CW) production capacity and has already produced "a number of
CW agents, including nerve, blister, choking, and blood agents." It
also possesses a stockpile of several hundred metric tons of
weaponized and bulk agent, he said.
Iran also has the technical infrastructure to support "a significant
BW (biological weapon) program," the official said.
He predicted that Iran, regardless of its leader, will continue to
expand its WMD and ballistic missile programs for both deterrent and
prestige reasons.
Following is Schindler's text as prepared for delivery:
Statement by A. Norman
Schindler
Deputy Director, DCI Nonproliferation Center
On Iran's Weapons of Mass Destruction Programs
To the International Security, Proliferation and Federal Services
Subcommittee
Of the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee,
21 September 2000
Mr. Chairman, as Mr. Walpole indicated, I will provide a summary of
Iran's WMD programs -- the programs designed to produce the weapons to
be delivered by the missile systems Mr. Walpole described, as well as
by other delivery means. The Iranians regard these as extremely
sensitive programs and go to great lengths to hide them from us. As a
result, our knowledge of these programs is based on extremely
sensitive sources and methods. This precludes me from providing many
details on the programs in open session. But I hope this summary will
be of use to the Committee, and we are prepared to provide additional
details in classified briefings.
Nuclear
Mr. Chairman, I'd like to begin with a few comments on Iran's nuclear
and nuclear weapons program. The Intelligence Community judges that
Iran is actively pursuing the acquisition of fissile material and the
expertise and technology necessary to form the material into nuclear
weapons. As part of this process, Iran is attempting to develop the
capability to produce both plutonium and highly-enriched uranium.
Iran is seeking nuclear-related equipment, material, and technical
expertise from a variety of foreign sources, especially in Russia.
Tehran claims that it is attempting to master nuclear technology for
civilian research and nuclear energy programs. However, in that guise
it is developing whole facilities -- such as a uranium conversion
facility -- that could be used to support the production of fissile
material for a nuclear weapon.
- Despite international efforts to curb the flow of critical
technologies and equipment, Tehran continues to seek fissile material
and technology for weapons development and has established an
elaborate system of covert military and civilian organizations to
support its acquisition goals.
Cooperation with foreign suppliers is helping Iran augment its nuclear
technology infrastructure, which in turn will be useful in supporting
nuclear weapons research and development. The expertise and technology
gained, along with the commercial channels and contacts established --
even from cooperation that appears strictly civilian in nature --
could be used to advance Iran's nuclear weapons effort.
- Work continues on the construction of a 1,000-megawatt nuclear
power reactor at Bushehr that will be subject to International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards. This project will not directly
support a weapons effort, but it affords Iran broad access to Russia's
nuclear industry.
- Russian entities are interacting with Iranian nuclear research
centers on a wide variety of activities beyond the Bushehr project.
Many of these projects have direct application to the production of
weapons-grade fissile material.
- China pledged in 1997 not to engage in any new nuclear cooperation
with Iran but said it would complete two ongoing nuclear projects, a
small research reactor and a zirconium production facility that Iran
will use to produce cladding for reactor fuel. As a party to the
Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), Iran is required to apply IAEA
safeguards to nuclear fuel, but safeguards are not required for the
zirconium plant or its products.
Mr. Chairman, the Intelligence Community continues to monitor
development in the Iranian nuclear and nuclear weapons programs
carefully. We regularly provide classified assessments of the progress
Iran is making to the administration, U.S. warfighters, and the
Congress. We are reluctant to provide additional details on the
Iranian program -- including when Iran might develop a nuclear weapon
-- in an unclassified setting.
Chemical
I'd like to turn now to Iran's chemical warfare (CW) program. Iran
launched its offensive CW program in the early 1980s in response to
Baghdad's use of CW during the Iran-Iraq war. We believe the program
remains active despite Tehran's decision to ratify the Chemical
Weapons Convention (CWC). Iran has a large and growing CW production
capacity and already has produced a number of CW agents, including
nerve, blister, choking, and blood agents. We believe it possesses a
stockpile of at least several hundred metric tons of weaponized and
bulk agent.
Tehran's goals for its CW program for the past decade have been to
expand its production capability and stockpile, reach self-sufficiency
by acquiring the means to manufacture chemical production equipment
and precursors, and diversify its CW arsenal by producing more
sophisticated and lethal agents and munitions.
- Tehran continues to seek production technology, training, expertise
and chemicals that could be used as precursors from entities in Russia
and China. It also seeks through intermediaries in other countries
equipment and material that could be used to develop a more advanced
and self-sufficient CW infrastructure.
- Thus far, Iran remains dependent on external suppliers for
technology, equipment, and precursors. However, we judge that Tehran
is rapidly approaching self-sufficiency and could become a supplier of
CW-related materials to other nations.
Biological
Iran's BW program also was initiated in the 1980s during the Iran-Iraq
war. The program is in the late stages of research and development,
but we believe Iran already holds some stocks of BW agents and
weapons. Tehran probably has investigated both toxins and live
organisms as BW agents, and for BW dissemination could use many of the
same delivery systems -- such as artillery and aerial bombs -- that it
has in its CW inventory.
- Iran has the technical infrastructure to support a significant BW
program. It conducts top-notch legitimate biomedical research at
various institutes, which we suspect also provide support to the BW
program.
- Tehran is expanding its efforts to acquire biotechnical materials,
equipment, and expertise from abroad -- primarily from entities in
Russia and Western Europe. Because of the dual-use nature of the
equipment, Iran's ability to produce a number of both veterinary and
human vaccines also gives it the capability to produce BW agents.
- Tehran continues to develop its BW capability despite being a party
to the Biological Warfare Convention (BWC).
Finally, Mr. Chairman, I'd like to say a word about Iran's motivations
for pursuing its WMD programs.
We assess that Tehran -- no matter who is in power -- will continue to
develop and expand its WMD and ballistic missile programs as long as
it perceives threats from U.S. military forces in the Gulf, a
nuclear-armed Israel, and Iraq. In addition, the deterrence posture or
prestige factor associated with some of these programs are probably
viewed by Iranian leaders as a means to achieve their goals of
becoming the predominant power in the region, asserting Iran's
ideological leadership in the Muslim world, and diminishing Western --
particularly U.S. -- influence in the Gulf.
(The Washington File is a product of the Office of International
Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. Web site:
http://usinfo.state.gov)
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