01 June 2000
Transcript: DOD Briefing on Cohen Agenda in Europe, Russia
A senior Pentagon official says Defense Secretary Cohen, who travels
to Moscow in June, will be in a position to follow-up on any arms
control issues which may arise during the June 3-5 Clinton-Putin
summit.
The timing of Cohen's trip "is fortuitous," the official told
reporters during a Defense Department background briefing June 1.
He also said the United States is working with NATO allies and Russia
on a number of cooperative research and development programs as well
as technology-sharing issues.
The briefing was organized to discuss Defense Secretary Cohen's trip
to Europe beginning June 6 to attend the regular spring NATO Defense
Ministerial and the third Nordic-Baltic-U.S. Defense Ministerial, but
the session was quickly overtaken by reporters' questions on key
defense issues, including technology-sharing with Russia on the
proposed National Missile Defense (NMD) program.
When asked if President Clinton is willing to share NMD technology
with the Russians, one of two briefing officials said, "it's important
to remember that we've already proposed a series of activities with
Russia on sensor experiments which relate to missile defense broadly.
And we have also proposed with the Russians that we work on Theater
Missile Defense cooperation."
He also said the United States has proposed working with the Russians
on early warning.
On the prospect of extending NMD defense to NATO allies, the official
said, "We would certainly be quite open to discussion with the allies
about cooperative steps to meet the long-range missile threat to
Europe as it emerges." If NATO allies seek U.S. assistance in
defending against such threats, he said, "we will be there."
The officials also highlighted some of the key issues on which Cohen
will focus during his meetings, including the Defense Capabilities
Initiative (DCI) -- to make allied and U.S. military equipment more
compatible; the European Security Defense Identity (ESDI); and Balkans
issues, with an emphasis on Kosovo. All the ministers will be focusing
on "how to achieve the kinds of capabilities that are sought," a
senior official said, including "enhanced mobility . . . precision
engagement, (and) logistics away from home."
Cohen also will visit Sweden for bilateral meetings. The official
praised that country's substantial contribution to the peacekeeping
effort in Kosovo.
Following is the transcript of the DOD background briefing:
Background Briefing
Senior Defense Officials
Thursday, June 1, 2000 -- 2:00 p.m. EDT
Capt. Taylor:
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Today we're going
to have a background briefing about the trip that the secretary of
Defense is taking next week. And we have two senior Defense officials,
which is the way we would appreciate you identifying them: senior
defense officials. And this is senior defense official number one,
just for your information, and he will talk about the parts of the
trip that he's associated with and answer your questions. And then
senior defense official number two will materialize on the scene and
he will similarly talk about his portions of the trip and answer your
questions.
Senior Defense Official:
(Off mike.) (Laughter.)
Capt. Taylor:
That's right. Otherwise it's way too hard for the
transcribing team to keep track of stuff.
Question:
Ah, thanks a lot.
Capt. Taylor:
Sir?
Senior Defense Official:
Thank you.
The secretary of Defense is going to Europe, including Russia. Senior
Defense official number two will deal with the Russian part. He goes
to Europe for the NATO defense ministerial. Many of you have been
there before. He will then go on from the defense ministerial to have
a Nordic-Baltic-U.S. defense ministerial. This is the third time that
we've had that. And then he will go from there to have bilaterals in
Sweden, and then from Sweden he will go to Russia and then home.
At the defense ministerial, again, as I think all of you know, there
are a series of regular meetings. These include the so-called Nuclear
Planning Group, the Defense Planning Committee, and the North Atlantic
Council of Defense Ministers. There's also a meeting with the Ukraine,
and a meeting with the Partnership for Peace defense ministers, the
so-called Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council of Defense Ministers. And
then a meeting with the Russians.
In broad terms, one of the key focuses for the secretary is the
Defense Capabilities Initiative, which as you'll recall was approved
by the heads of government last year at the NATO summit here in
Washington. It was very much a Secretary Cohen initiative to begin
with. If I recall correctly, he began speaking about it at NATO in
June of 1998. It was approved last year, and we've made a reasonable
amount of progress on it since.
The key issue now that I think all the ministers will be focusing on
is how to achieve the kinds of capabilities that are sought. Those
relate to enhanced mobility, enhanced precision engagement, logistics
away from home, C3, which you've heard. And the secretary has talked
about the importance of both reallocating resources and providing
additional resources.
We expect to have an event there where a group of the NATO countries
will be able to sign an agreement, still ongoing, so we'll have to
talk about the specifics when we're in Europe. But I simply alert you
to that.
A second issue undoubtedly will be what the Europeans themselves are
doing, the so-called European Security Defense -- sometimes called
"Identity," sometimes "Program." We have had some significant
progress. NATO and the EU have agreed to set up working groups. The EU
has since last December had a so-called "headline" goal that's
compatible with the DCI goal, with a heavy focus, again, on mobility
and sustainability. And part of this meeting will be to make sure that
NATO and the EU are coordinating at the ministerial level and to
continue this effort.
The third issue undoubtedly will be Balkans issues, obviously Kosovo.
They will certainly discuss the Milosevic regime, what should be done
about it, how to help stabilize the countries around the area.
Although it's not specifically the bailiwick of the defense ministers,
they'll talk about the Stability Pact. There is a defense element of
that. There's also a resource element, which is more prime ministers
and finance ministers.
I mentioned they will meet with the Ukraine minister. Senior Defense
Official number two will talk about that; likewise on the Russian
meeting.
And then there's the meeting with the partners. One of the important
things to think about in terms of things that happen over time but
don't happen dramatically is that if you look at the Partnership for
Peace, which started approximately six years ago with relatively
limited activities, we now have a situation in which partners have
both contributed substantially to the Bosnia effort, the peacekeeping
effort and also to the KFOR effort. I mean, for example, Sweden, which
we'll be visiting, has over -- I don't know if I have an exact number,
but over 750 individuals in the KFOR effort, as do a whole number of
the other partners. So it's been the kind of thing that has acted as a
force multiplier for NATO. It's the kind of situation where we had not
any NATO, but NATO with its associated partners operating as the
important security entity in Europe in situations that involve force.
Let me stop there. And I am happy to talk about any or all of this --
(inaudible) -- if you want to excuse me, go right on to senior defense
official number two, we can do that too.
Q:
Sir, do you believe that the Defense, Trade and Security Initiative
will come up as a major issue?
Senior Defense Official:
I am sorry. That's just a mistake on my part.
It's even in my notes. The secretary will definitely talk about that.
Obviously, it was announced at the foreign ministers' meeting and also
here in Washington.
He will review that with his counterparts. I can tell you that we have
already gotten extremely good feedback from the Europeans on that. The
ministers, I am sure, will be interested in the particulars of what
may be involved, what it may imply for their country; how do they get
as involved as they can. And he'll both, if you will, have a
discussion of it, and then I expect that it will be a matter of
informal discussion also.
Q:
Will you be making the DCI list available from that Defense
Security --
Senior Defense Official:
(Inaudible) -- have available or not. I'll
have to -- we will be making it available, but I don't know that we
have it available at this meeting. I'll have to check on the answer
for you. I'll find out for you.
Q:
Will they talk about extending missile defense to the allies?
Senior Defense Official:
National missile defense will definitely come
up, I am sure. And I am sure all the allies will be interested in the
president's comments, as reported yesterday. I have only actually read
about the -- I have only seen the news reports myself. I haven't had a
chance to actually go over the comments themselves. But I am confident
that that will be an issue.
Q:
Can you give us any sense; did the president sort of make an
offhand comment? Has this been talked about and considered? Is he
going to offer anything more in detail about how he would extend it to
the allies? Would we offer it to them? Would they buy it?
Senior Defense Official:
I think we can talk about that. Senior
Defense Official number two is actively involved in that, and I think
the answer is that we may need a little bit more time to give you a
better background briefing. But we'll turn to Senior Defense Official
number two and keep the record clear.
Senior Defense Official:
I think that one needs to look at the
situation as we know it, what's happened so far. First, with regard to
potential cooperation on defense against ballistic missiles, it's
important to remember that we've already proposed a series of
activities with Russia on sensor experiments which relate to missile
defense broadly. And we have also proposed with the Russians that we
work on theater missile defense cooperation -- we've actually had two
training exercises with them. And we have also proposed that we work
with them on early warning.
With NATO, we are already working with NATO allies on theater missile
defense. In fact, there is a U.S.-Dutch-German Patriot capability --
deployable capability -- embodied in the U.S.-German-Dutch extended
air defense task force in Europe. And we also are pursuing a number of
cooperative research and development programs with the NATO allies in
the area of theater missile defense.
And finally, we have told the Russians that the question of
cooperating with our NATO allies on defense against long-range
missiles is an issue that is likely to arise in a future round of
negotiations. And we've told the allies that we've told the Russians
this. And so, as on other technology-sharing issues in the past, we
would certainly be quite open to discussion with the allies about
cooperative steps to meet the long-range missile threat to Europe as
it emerges.
Q:
Well, here's a question -- will Cohen expand on what the president
said yesterday? Is this a more firm proposal, or is it just something
that will be discussed at a future --
Senior Defense Official:
I think what I want you to go back and do is
view what the president said not necessarily as a proposal, but in the
context of what we are already doing, and we are already doing a
significant amount.
Q:
There is no way that the United States would leave the NATO allies
unprotected if they wish to be protected. The U.S. would certainly
cooperate if a technology is acquired, perhaps even join them -- is
that correct?
Senior Defense Official:
If the allies seek U.S. assistance in
defending themselves against long-range missile threats to Europe, as
those threats emerge, we will be there.
Q:
Could I follow that? Having heard what you said in response to
Tom's question, are you saying that President Clinton's remarks
yesterday do not mean that the United States has decided it will share
strategic missile defense technology with the Russians?
Senior Defense Official:
I'm saying that what you have to do is look
at the president's remarks -- first of all, you should go to the White
House to find out what the president said.
Q:
I know what he said, but I want to ask --
Senior Defense Official:
But the second thing I'm saying to you is the
president's remarks didn't come out of the sky. The president's
remarks come in a context of a series of initiatives already underway,
and that you need to understand and interpret them in that context.
Q:
So he's not going any further than what has already -- the
cooperation that already exists? Which is not, after all, missile
intercept technology.
Senior Defense Official:
What's out there is out there. What may come
further, you know, may come further. I don't think things have been
ruled out.
Q:
But this question has been hanging in the air for some months, if
not years: Would the United States share missile intercept technology
with the Russians? And I have to say, that the president seemed to
answer that question yesterday by saying yes.
Senior Defense Official:
The degree of technology sharing that we do
with the Russians will obviously depend on the degree of discussions
and where we go with discussions at this summit and at subsequent
summits. I'm not ruling anything in or I'm not ruling anything out,
nor do I think the president intended to rule anything in or out. But
you've got to build on where we are.
Senior Defense official one may wish to amplify on this.
Senior Defense Official:
We'll leave that issue and go on. Any others?
Q:
Generally, do you expect progress, or expect to be reporting -- or
that the secretary will be reporting to the allies on progress on,
say, for example, START III, on ABM, and the sort of things that we
all expect to come out of summit meetings?
Senior Defense Official:
Well, there's going to be a summit meeting.
The secretary obviously would be in a position to report on the summit
meeting. But I can't tell you what's going to happen because it hasn't
happened yet.
Q:
Would you be able to address the Force Proposal 2000 issue? I
understand you've been getting a couple of reports. What are your
expectations?
Senior Defense Official:
Yeah, Force Proposal 2000, as most of you
know, are essentially the way we set up force goals for the allies and
ourselves; that is what they need to do in the context of NATO. They
will be approved at -- as I technical matter, they get approved at
this meeting, made force goals, and then they have to be implemented.
The burden of the defense capabilities initiative is to focus NATO --
and including the force goals -- on certain kinds of capabilities,
like mobility, like enhanced engagement, and the like. And the Force
Goals 2000 were significantly changed from the Force Goals '98, in
accordance with the defense capabilities initiative, and that was done
by the military authorities.
Our desire is to have those implemented as fully as possible, and that
goes back to the issue of resources. You need resources to do that.
Now, you can get resources essentially in two ways. One is to
reallocate away from some things that you're doing already. One thing
that can be considered is that there are a lot of so-called "main
defense forces," which were forces that made a lot of sense under the
Cold War conditions, because they were to fight in place, if you will.
And the second is to add additional resources; that's what the
administration and the Congress have done for the United States, which
is increasing its budget. And we think we need to do both. We need to
get the alliance to spend more to be able to meet the force goals.
Q:
One of the things the secretary always does on these things is kind
of mend fences, talk to the allies and so forth. But there are some
frictions in the alliance. We have Congress complaining about a lack
of police officers in Kosovo. We have not, as far as I can tell, not
any -- none of the NATO allies have come out supporting the planned
missile defense. What is the status at the moment? What are the
problems? Am I overinterpreting this?
Senior Defense Official:
The secretary never has to mend fences,
because he always has outstanding relations. If I interpret your
question correctly, what you're saying to me -- and I'm putting words
in your mouth, which is usually what you guys do to us, but let me see
if I can get the question right. Are you saying, do we have an
alliance that has lots of problems and is not working well together,
or do we have an alliance that is working well together? And I would
say that we have an alliance that's basically working very well
together, and let me tell you why, and then let me go to your
particular points.
You have an alliance that has been able to conduct operations very
effectively. You have Bosnia and then you have Kosovo. It did so
effectively from a military point of view, and it did so effectively
from a political point of view.
The war ended quickly -- 78 days is quick. And one of the fundamental
characteristics of the effort, both as a military matter and as a
political matter, and as I think in most observers' views, including
mine, as a matter of ending the war, was the way NATO was able to
stick together, the solidarity.
You have a whole series of actions that have been taken -- taken place
over the past several years to create new structures, or
alternatively, change existing structures in the alliance, all of
which are uniformly agreed to. The Partnership for Peace -- it brings
in all the countries that are not NATO members. For example, we're
going to Sweden. Sweden is a neutral country, but it is now a neutral
country that feels comfortable with working with the alliance in
Europe's security issues. They are in KFOR, which I mentioned. That is
a major change. You have an institution to help the Ukraine -- (to
other briefer) -- do you remember the title? I can't remember.
Senior Defense Official:
NATO-Ukraine Council.
Senior Defense Official:
Right, NATO-Ukraine Council. You have the PJC
for Russia.
So what you do is you have an alliance that is able to do lots of
things, do so effectively. It's not a classic news story in a sense
that, you know, we're not saying who wins the boxing match, we're just
doing stuff together.
There are also problems, I mean, there's no issue about that, but
there are real-life problems. We do not have enough police in Kosovo.
I'm going to do this from memory, but my recollection is that there's
a requirement -- it's 4,700 or 4,900, and we have about 3,400. It's
not just the Congress that thinks that's a problem; I think it's a
problem, the secretary of Defense thinks it's a problem, I think some
of the other heads of state likewise think it's a problem. And the
issue is how to get more police there. So there's not a difference on
the objective, there's an implementation issue.
With respect to NMD, while I'll leave the major things to senior
defense official number two, the point I would say is that we've had
lots of discussions with the Europeans. There have been very good
exchanges. And this is the kind of way that an alliance comes together
and builds consensus. So I don't think that your premise is right; I
think your premise is actually affirmatively wrong. I think you
basically have a working alliance, and then you have issues that have
to be dealt with.
Q:
Is there likely to be discussion of the "technology gap" which the
alliance said, "Boy, it was really bad during the war. We promise
we're going to close it." And lo and behold, no country has increased
its defense budget and you're not making much progress at all on that,
from what I can tell.
Senior Defense Official:
The technology gap, as you put it, was one of
the factors that led to the Defense Capabilities Initiative. It was
also one of the factors that was apparent in Kosovo, where there were
certain missions that only the United States could do. We have made
progress, but we haven't made a success yet. And I think it's
important to differentiate between the two. The first point on the
progress was an agreement that things had to change, and that's the
agreement on the key issues on the Defense Capabilities Initiative,
that's the agreement on the Force Goals 2000, all of which built this
in. The allies have to agree to the force goals, which they have done.
The next issue is, as you say, implementation and resources, which
I've already said, but I will repeat, you need to have more resources
focused on these kind of capabilities. The secretary has said that a
number of times. We all think that that's necessary. And the question
will be how to get them. And again, I'm repeating, but you have two
ways to get them -- reallocate from old things you don't need to do
anymore, or increase budgets. And I think those have to be decided by
the countries in the alliance, but they have to be done if we are
going to be a success. And I don't think you can do it all by
reallocation.
There have been some successes along the way. Already we have done
some things, like we've agreed on enhancing the alliance's logistics
capability away from home by creating a so-called "Multinational Joint
Logistics Center," which is a logistics counterpart to CJTF, Combined
Joint Task Force. We have had some agreements on C3 architecture. We
have had a decision, for example, by the British to lease four C-17s.
There are a whole host of those. I don't want to overstate. There's a
difference between progress and success. We haven't achieved the goals
of the DCI yet. We are on track. We won't achieve them unless adequate
resources are provided. That will be a focus of this meeting.
Q:
Have you seen, just as a point of fact, any European country
increase its defense spending since the end of the Kosovo conflict?
Senior Defense Official:
Yes. And I will get -- I can remember the
Canada, which is not European, but I take it you really meant non-U.S.
I believe that there has been one other. And I apologize; I will try
to get you the answer. But the facts are the facts, and I'm not trying
to -- I think it's Canada plus one, if I recall correctly. And I don't
mean Luxembourg.
Q:
Is there any concern that the Europeans aren't coordinating closely
enough with NATO on their efforts to build an autonomous force?
Senior Defense Official:
We have supported the so-called ESDI or ESDP
very strongly. And I think one of the things that happens is that
there are concerns by people who are not as involved in the actuality
of what is going on. When the defense minister from France came over,
he gave some very strong speeches that were very positive -- strong
speeches on the ESDP approach and how to work with NATO -- that were
very positive from the U.S. point of view. We have since then made
progress on a variety of so-called links, arrangements between the two
entities, of NATO and the EU.
And there are now four working groups set up to work on particular
things, like exchange of security clearances would be one good
example. We have to finish those off. And so until they are done, they
are not done. But we have set them up. It's done in a timely fashion.
It's good to remember that the EU and NATO -- but if I recall
correctly, 12 of the countries are in both. So it's not one entity
versus another with no overlapping membership; they are substantially
the same. So there are things to be done. We all know it. I would have
concern if they didn't get done, but I am pleased with where we are
now.
Q:
This is for No. 2: The Russians have already made quite clear that
they don't want to amend the treaty for national missile defense. When
the secretary meets with Sergeyev, will he offer any new arguments,
perhaps deal-sweeteners, or will he just repeat the arguments that
have been rejected repeatedly?
Senior Defense Official:
The secretary will obviously follow up on
what happens at the summit. Should there be any breakthroughs at the
summit, the secretary will be in a position to exploit them. Should
the summit --
Q:
Do you have any information to give us about possible
breakthroughs?
Senior Defense Official:
No. No. But I think that the timing is
fortuitous. And I think that the secretary will be there, and arms
control will be one of the issues on his agenda. And so we will be in
a position to follow up on these kinds of issues.
If I might take some time, just for a moment, from senior official No.
1, just to say: He will have essentially three meetings or three
opportunities to meet with Sergeyev in the next several weeks. He will
have the NATO-Russia Permanent Joint Council Defense, which represents
the first time that that body has met with the Russian defense
minister since the Kosovo action began.
He will have a bilateral with Sergeyev in Brussels, and then he will
go to Moscow where he will have a series of meetings with Sergeyev,
among others. And what our plan is to do, is to spend the time in
Brussels, both in the PJC defense and in the bilateral, talking
largely about issues that involve NATO and Russia -- the alliance and
Russia -- to include revising and energizing the work program and the
PJC, and also to discuss joint activities such as Kosovo and the
broadening of ties between NATO and Russia.
Once in Moscow, the focus will be more on bilateral issues, to include
the summit follow-up, arms control in general, shared early warning,
broadening defense cooperation between the various arms of the Russian
armed forces and our own cooperative threat reduction. So it will be a
wide and varied menu, and there will be plenty of opportunities to
engage.
Q:
But as far as any sweeteners or new arguments or anything coming
down the road --
Senior Defense Official:
I think the secretary coming right after the
summit will be in a position, as I said, to follow up on the summit,
rather than to create new opportunities right after the presidents
have met.
Q:
Is he planning to take any sort of a message to Sergeyev regarding
Chechnya?
Senior Defense Official:
Chechnya will be discussed.
Q:
But what is he trying --
Senior Defense Official:
You know our position on Chechnya. We think
that the Russians have reacted with excessive force and that the
situation needs to be brought back to civil authority as quickly as
possible.
Q:
Well, do you see any softening in their position on ABM?
Senior Defense Official:
Softening in their position on ABM --
Q:
(Off mike.)
Senior Defense Official:
That's a very broad subject. I think that the
Russian government -- I think that there are significant elements in
the Russian government which, over the past six to 12 months, have
come to appreciate more our understanding of the threat, our analysis
of the threat, and they are sympathetic to our view of the growing
ballistic missile threat.
I think that there are significant elements of the Russian government,
including those in the armed forces, which understand that the limited
national missile defense that we propose is not a threat to their
strategic deterrent, nor will it be.
Whether or not President Putin decides that this is the time to agree
with President Clinton on a way forward is something that we're all
going to have to wait and see. But even if they don't, this is a good
opportunity for fruitful exchange between the secretary and his
Russian counterpart on where we are, what our system is, why we
continue to proceed in the direction we're going and to give full
transparency on what we're about so that again, as we've been saying
from the beginning, there will not be any surprises for the Russians
in what this administration is planning to do in the area of missile
defense.
Q:
Does it -- just your personal opinion -- the fact that China is
making such a ruckus and Russia is being so uncooperative about
national ballistic missile defense, does that show you that, in fact,
this system that the United States is developing is a viable system in
the eyes of the Russians and the Chinese?
Senior Defense Official:
You mean viable in the sense that they're
afraid of it?
Q:
Well, are they afraid it's going to work?
Senior Defense Official:
Well, I don't need -- are senior officials
allowed to have personal opinions?
Staff: No. (Laughter.)
Senior Defense Official:
I would say to you that you've got to look at
the whole scope and context of our relationships with the Chinese over
decades and with the Russian government and its Soviet predecessor.
The Soviet government was never going to agree to the deployment of
ground-launched cruise missiles and Pershing missiles to Europe, and
it was never going to sign an arms control agreement that would do
away with the SS-20. Indeed, it walked out of the arms control talks
when the first ground-launched cruise and Pershings arrived in 1983.
And then 18 months later, the negotiations resumed and two years later
we had a treaty that eliminated the whole set of missiles.
So one has to distinguish between rhetoric and hard-headed diplomacy
when the time is right to cut certain deals. I think it's important,
as I said, to go back to the notion that there are more Russians in
influential positions who understand and appreciate where we are
coming from on this issue than was the case a year ago. And we have
that on the basis of high-level exchanges with the Russians. As far --
Q:
What are their positions?
Senior Defense Official:
Who are the people?
Q:
Yes.
Senior Defense Official:
I'd rather not say, because it would violate
the confidentiality of those discussions, although it's a good try.
(Laughter.)
With the Chinese, there are other things that are important to
remember, and that is, we continually hear that if the United States
goes ahead with this kind of a deployment, the Chinese are going to
start building strategic forces again. The Chinese are building
strategic forces. The Chinese today have a program where they have two
intercontinental ballistic missiles under development, a
submarine-launched ballistic missile under development, a submarine to
launch that SLBM, and long-range cruise missiles. So we're not talking
about an "if," but we're talking about the size of these kinds of
modernization programs, which I will point out, began in the early
1990s and which have had some significant Russian assistance. They are
not a reaction to NMD, they are ongoing.
We believe that the Chinese program will produce a force that is not
going to be threatened by a national missile defense. And it is our
intention not to threaten the Chinese with a national missile defense,
and we have some discussions, and senior defense official number one
has been in those discussions with the Chinese about what NMD is
intended to do and what it's not intended to do. But one has to always
be careful of comments coming from various governments that are
designed to influence our own opinions and public opinion.
Q:
You were late. You can't ask any questions. We saw you come in
late.
Senior Defense Official:
Yes, sir?
Q:
You were talking about shared early warning. There are press
reports that the Russian early warning system is in chaos and
disarray, doesn't work very well, it's falling apart, and so forth.
Are these -- what's your assessment of the Russian early warning
system, since we're talking about shared early warning?
Senior Defense Official:
I don't think it is in chaos and disarray or
falling apart. I mean, the Russian early warning system is clearly not
as robust as the system that the Soviets had. There has clearly been
deterioration in the system since the end of the Cold War, both the
number of satellites, operational satellites on orbit, and in the
radars that are operational.
That said, I think that the Russian system does provide them with
adequate warning today. We are not ourselves comfortable with the
degree of warning, and that was evidenced by the fact that in
September 1998, the president made a proposal to the Russians that we
share early warning information. It's in everybody's interest that the
Russian government have excellent warning information.
We and the Russians have been negotiating on implementing that
presidential offer. In fact, it may be a summit deliverable, in which
case we would want to move out to implement it. If not, we will want
to push negotiations faster so that we do get to implement it.
The Russians do not seem to be living in fear of a warning blackout.
The posture that their strategic forces have today is very clearly a
peacetime posture. It is not the posture that you would attribute to a
government that believes it's about to be struck and it would be
struck by surprise because of weakness in its own warning systems.
But nevertheless, we think that there should be better data, and
that's why we are so interested in working on shared early warning.
Q:
I went out to Colorado Springs to see the facility there. Is that
what's -- something like that, is that --
Senior Defense Official:
That would be a prototype. But that relied on
U.S. data and the Russians phoning home. What we would seek to create
in Russia is a building into which data from both U.S. and Russian
sensors flow. It would be the first-ever situation where U.S. and
Russian officers were standing duty together 24 hours a day, seven
days a week and they could compare data coming in from Russian sensors
and U.S. sensors, and if there was an anomaly, if the sensors did not
agree, then they could resolve that situation very quickly. So it will
be a first in many ways.
Q:
It would be located --
Senior Defense Official:
It would be located generally in the Moscow
area.
Q:
For either one of you, what is your latest assessment and level of
concern about the Russian BW program? And what might you be bringing
up at this meeting to try and get more insight into what you do
believe the Russians are doing?
Senior Defense Official:
BW is --
Senior Defense Official:
This is senior official number two.
Senior Defense Official:
You can call either of us by our first names
and you can still get the right -- (laughter) -- we did that purposely
-- "senior."
Russian BW is not on the agenda for these upcoming meetings. There
are, of course, residual concerns in the U.S. intelligence community
that some Russian offensive BW program survives. I don't think we can
say anything conclusive as to whether that is true or not true. What
is certainly true is that it was a very large program; there was a
large program as late as 1992.
Over the past 10 years, we have had increasing degrees of access to
the civilian facilities and what's know as Biopreparat, through the
Cooperative Threat Reduction Program. With Americans on the ground in
those facilities, the odds of there being secret biological warfare,
offensive biological warfare programs at those facilities goes down
dramatically to zero, I would say. We've had access to the so-called
Bio Level Four containment facilities at those civilian Biopreparat
complexes. We are working with the civilian Biopreparat people in many
areas to develop transparent commercial pharmaceutical and other
medical research at those facilities to provide continued employment
for the scientists.
So I cannot tell you, you know, with absolute assurance that there is
not somewhere in Russia the remnant of an offensive BW program, but I
can tell you that we have had tremendous success in gaining access to
former offensive BW facilities and are fairly confident that those
facilities are no longer involved in any offensive program.
Q:
So your assessment, if I understood your first statement, is that
there is still what I think you called residual --
Senior Defense Official:
No. I said that there was a concern in some
quarters of the intelligence community that a residual program might
exist, and that I could not provide you proof-positive that it did not
exist. But it would be very hard to prove the absence of this program.
We don't have full access, obviously, to all biological facilities in
Russia, in particular to the military facilities that deal with
biological research. Is there an offensive BW program there? I can't
tell you that. Is intelligence compelling in any way? We don't comment
on intelligence, but there is nothing that is particularly compelling.
If there was, it would be a top-of-the-line issue.
Q:
Will terrorism be discussed? The last time the secretary was there
he offered closer cooperation on --
Senior Defense Official:
I would assume that would be discussed.
Q:
And specifically with regard to working together to -- against
Osama bin-Laden.
Senior Defense Official:
This is an area in which we obviously we have
a great deal of interest. We have a great deal of interest in working
with the Russians on anti-terrorist activities, without regard to
specific source.
Q:
They recently made some threats of air-strikes against Afghanistan.
You know, what's the position here on that?
Senior Defense Official:
Go ask the Russian embassy.
Q:
Oh, so you're fine with it?
Senior Defense Official:
No, I didn't say I was fine with it. The
Russians -- you said, the Russians have made some threats of
airstrikes against another sovereign country. Yeah. Go get the Russian
embassy to comment. International law is clear about what you can and
can't do outside your borders.
Q:
So you would not favor that, is that what you're saying?
Senior Defense Official:
Jack, that would be a good assumption.
(Laughter.)
Q:
I think that's what I was trying to get you to say.
Senior Defense Official:
I said it.
Staff: Thank you very much.
(Distributed by the Office of International Information Programs, U.S.
Department of State. Web site: http://usinfo.state.gov)
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