Finance Minister's Report
to the Heads of State and Government on
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY STABILITY
Lyon, June 28, 1996
In this context, the Heads of State and Government concluded at the Halifax summit that : "Close consultation and effective cooperation on macroeconomic policies among the G7 are important elements in promoting sustained non-inflationary growth avoiding the emergence of large external imbalances, and promoting greater exchange market stability", that "we have a shared interest in ensuring the international community remains able to manage the risks inherent in the growth of private capital flows, the increased integration of domestic capital markets, and the accelerating pace of financial innovation" and that "closer international cooperation in the regulation and supervision of financial institutions and markets is essential to safeguard the financial system and prevent an erosion of prudential standards."
In our discussions in Halifax last year we concluded, more specifically, that :
These conclusions remain valid today.
Our overriding objective is to promote sustained non-inflationary growth. In this context, the G7 can best promote greater stability in exchange markets through the pursuit of appropriate macroeconomic policies along with close cooperation in the exchange markets where appropriate.
For the past two decades, the international monetary system has been based on a flexible exchange rate system among major currencies. There are circumstances when it is appropriate to allow exchange rates among major currencies to fluctuate rather than to adjust monetary and fiscal policies in a manner inconsistent with the needs of the economy.
Experience since 1973 suggests that major exchange rate adjustments have been caused by clearly identifiable changes or distortions in the underlying economic fundamentals or in macroeconomic policies. Efforts to preserve an exchange rate that is inconsistent with underlying fundamentals are likely to introduce distortions to and constraints on central instruments of economic management. At the same time, financial authorities cannot be indifferent to exchange rate fluctuations that do not appear justified on the basis of macro-economic policies or fundamentals and as a consequence could adversely affect output or prices. There are circumstances where close cooperation in exchange markets can reinforce sound economic policies and enhance stability in exchange markets.
The G7 has an important responsibility in promoting an effective and stable monetary system by advancing policies that will strengthen our capacity to manage risk and prevent crises and improve our ability to respond to such events when they occur. Towards this objective, we have adopted a number of initiatives over the past several years and improvements were initiated at Halifax. This paper reviews the main initiatives, and proposes, where appropriate, further improvements.
It is important to pursue sound domestic economic policies aimed at achieving sustained non-inflationary growth and at avoiding the emergence of excessive external imbalances. Such policies are also a necessary condition for more exchange rate stability and for avoiding -or reducing- exchange rate misalignment. The dramatic deepening in economic integration increases the need for sound economic policies but also the potential gains from cooperation on macro-economic policies. The G7 surveillance process provides a framework for identifying and formulating appropriate responses to risks for our economies and for the stability of the international financial and monetary system.
we have already achieved some important progress in articulating common economic policy objectives : we have agreed on the critical importance of reducing inflation and have made great progress to this end ; we agreed on the medium-term strategy for fiscal consolidation, which we will continue to pursue vigorously to increase national savings, and to reduce external imbalances. Increased convergence should improve the outlook for sustained exchange rate stability and low long-term interest rates in our countries ;
in the aftermath of the Mexican crisis, G7 have encouraged an important enhancement of IMF surveillance, which is being implemented (see below).
concentrate the discussion on potential risks to the outlook in the G7 and the appropriate policy response to those challenges. More attention could also be paid to medium-term economic and structural issues ;
focus more attention on potential risks outside the G7 that could affect the international monetary and financial system, based in part on a presentation by the IMF Managing Director ;
strengthen cooperation at the Deputies level in preparation for Ministerial meetings with appropriate involvement of central bank deputies and the IMF staff.
Exchange rate misalignments can heighten uncertainty in the global economy and can be detrimental to growth and trade. When exchange rates appear to move out of line with underlying fundamentals, close monitoring is necessary and coordinated responses may be required.
a clear and consistent articulation of a common G7 view can have a stabilizing influence and help reinforce the credibility of our commitment to cooperate in the exchange market when circumstances warrant ;
interventions can be effective in certain circumstances, especially when they reinforce changes in policies and/or underlying fundamentals that lead to changes in market expectations about future exchange rates ;
the instrument of intervention must be used judiciously given its implications for monetary policy and the amount that the authorities can mobilize relative to the size of international capital markets. Nevertheless, these factors do not impede our joint ability to send a clear message to the markets, if and when appropriate ;
interventions are more likely to be effective when they are concerted and reflect a common assessment ;
an important condition for success is the appropriate timing of intervention.
The globalisation of financial markets and the substantial increase in cross-border capital flows have created a more complex financial environment. Comprehensive and effective financial regulation, market-reinforced prudential supervision and enhanced international cooperation among regulators are among the keystones for maintaining stability of the international financial and monetary system.
We recognise the substantial recent and ongoing cooperative work between the Basle and IOSCO Committees on derivatives to promote improved risk management, a common reporting framework and improved disclosure practices ;
We welcome the publication in December 1995 of the Basle Committee capital adequacy standards for bank's exposure to market risk, which will be a very useful complement to existing prudential ratios.
Enhance cooperation across markets to strengthen supervision of financial institutions. In this context, we welcome the joint efforts of the Basle and IOSCO Committees to enhance their collaborative arrangements and the work of the Joint Forum of banks, securities and insurance supervisors. Suitable arrangements should be established within which that cooperation can be better organised. It would be useful to clarify the role and responsibilities of the relevant supervisors to foster an appropriate degree of cooperation in the supervision of internationally-active financial institutions, and to establish a more comprehensive network of bilateral arrangements between authorities.
Strengthen prudential standards in, and supervisory cooperation with, emerging markets. Effective prudential regulation and supervision must cover all important financial marketplaces, particularly those which are experiencing high growth rates and/or substantial capital flows. The Basle and IOSCO Committees are performing work in this area which reinforces bilateral and regional efforts underway. Because emerging markets are growing in significance, these Committees, and other appropriate fora should be encouraged to strengthen their outreach to and cooperation with emerging market supervisors in order to promote high prudential standards. The International Financial Institutions should give more attention to promoting effective regulatory and supervisory structures in emerging markets ;
Encourage private sector efforts to enhance market transparency. Notwithstanding past or future regulatory activities, primary responsibility for risk management rests with market participants. Regulators should encourage -and where necessary exert pressure to induce- private sector efforts to enhance market transparency in order to strengthen market forces' capacity for sound and responsible risk taking and control ;
Improve reporting and disclosure of derivatives activities. Effective monitoring of derivatives activities is crucial, and requires closer cooperation among supervisors. In this regard, we welcome the global market survey conducted in the spring of 1995 by the BIS, and the follow-up action which is being planned. We also look forward to the conclusion this year of a joint Basle/IOSCO approach to reporting standards for derivatives exposure and to further progress in improving derivatives disclosure practices ;
Enhance cooperation among exchanges. We look forward to implementation of the recommendations in the Windsor Declaration for increasing cooperation among futures exchanges and regulators. We also note with approval the development of information sharing arrangements among securities exchanges and welcome conclusion of an information sharing arrangement among major futures exchanges and relevant regulatory authorities. We also look forward to the IOSCO study of methods to identify large firm exposures that may have an effect on the market and to protect market participants from potential defaults by firms.
The increased integration of global capital markets, the change in magnitude and composition of capital flows, and the increase in the diversity and number of creditors and borrowers present new opportunities and challenges to the financial system. At Halifax, Heads proposed a range of initiatives to strengthen the global financial system, with particular attention to the IMF's role. We strongly welcome their implementation :
Improvement of the early warning system is being implemented : the IMF's surveillance capabilities have been enhanced ; the IMF has established standards for timely publication of economic and financial data, and subscription on a voluntary basis is underway.
In order to better respond to crises, an emergency financing mechanism, aiming at faster procedures, has been set up in the IMF ;
We welcome the agreement in principle reached on a doubling of the resources currently available to the IMF under the General Arrangements to Borrow. These arrangements will include a broader group of countries with the capacity to support the international monetary system. We welcome this sharing of monetary responsibilities, thereby adapting our cooperation to new economic circumstances ;
We welcome the report of the G-10 Working Party on the Resolution of Sovereign Liquidity Crises ;
We fully support the ongoing 11th review of IMF quotas to ensure that the IMF continues to have sufficient resources to meet its ongoing responsibilities. We believe it is important for the IMF to remain a quota based institution with the resources necessary to fulfill its important role in the global financial system.
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