If Americans vote in November in the traditional way, either Vice President Al Gore, the
Democratic nominee, or Texas Governor George W. Bush, the Republican nominee, will be the
next president of the United States. That is because the United States basically has a
two-party system. But there also is a long tradition of third party bids for the presidency. The
year 2000 is no exception.
The three leading third parties in this year's election are the Green Party, whose nominee is
consumer advocate Ralph Nader, the Reform Party, whose nominee is political commentator
Pat Buchanan, and the Libertarian Party, whose nominee is Harry Browne, a former investment
counselor. Currently, Nader stands at between 2 and 4 percent in the polls, depending on the
poll. His supporters include Green Party enthusiasts as well as disaffected Democrats and
Republicans who dislike the nominees of their respective parties.
The Greens are a worldwide movement committed to environmental causes, economic
empowerment and to various social issues. The movement has had particular success at the
ballot box in Western Europe. Green Party USA was organized in the 1980s and now has
grass-roots organizations in all 50 states. This is the second time that Nader, who is a
household name in America, has been the party's nominee. He was on the ballot in 22 states in
1996 but won none of them. In a recent appearance on NBC's "Meet the Press," he said he
would be on the ballot in at least 45 states this year.
The Reform Party was founded by multi-millionaire Texas businessman Ross Perot in the early
1990s. It was an outgrowth of his organization, "United We Stand America," formed in 1992.
The party stands for term limits for lawmakers, campaign finance reform and protection for
American workers against what it regards as unfair free trade policies. It tends to be liberal to
moderate on social issues. A conflict of interest between two factions at the Reform
Party Convention resulted in a squabble over $12.5 million dollars in federal campaign funds.
Pat Buchanan, the Reform nominee, received the money.
The Libertarian Party was established in 1971. Its major principles are commitment to
individual rights, freedom of communication, the abolition of the income tax and an end to the
prosecution of victimless crimes, including drug offenses. The Libertarians oppose intrusive
action by governments of the Left or the Right. The party's statement of principles says
individuals "have the right to live in whatever manner they choose, so long as they don't forcibly
interfere with the equal rights of others."
In addition to the Greens, the Libertarians and the Reform Party, many other political parties will
be fielding presidential candidates this year. Based on historical precedent, however, the
overwhelming odds are in favor of the Democratic or Republican nominee winning the
presidency, although a strong third party showing by one or more of the third parties could
affect the outcome of the race between the two leading candidates.
The reason why a third party nominee stands little chance of winning the presidency lies in the
nature of the American political system and American history. Stephen Rockwood, author of
American Third Parties Since the Civil War cites several, specific reasons:
- The U.S. election system, which is based on "winner-takes-all" rather than proportional
representation
- The tradition of two main parties acting as "large umbrellas" for a variety of interests
- Media concentration on the two major parties rather than the myriad of smaller
parties
Even so, there have been significant, third party attempts to win the presidency at numerous
times in American history. Although not successful, they have significantly affected the public
debate and the policies of the two major parties. Since World War II, for example, there have
been six noteworthy third party presidential bids.
1948. The Dixiecrats led by Strom Thurmond, currently a senator from South
Carolina. The Dixiecrats were a group of dissident Democrats who opposed the racial
integration policies of Democrat nominee Harry Truman. Thurmond garnered only 2.4 percent
of the popular vote, but because he confined his campaign to the South, won four states there.
Thurmond's purpose was not to win the presidency, but to deny victory to Truman by winning
traditional Democratic states in the region. The effort failed, however. Truman won without the
four Southern states.
1948. The Progressive Party led by Henry Wallace, a former vice president of the
U.S. in the Roosevelt administration. Wallace ran to Truman's left favoring a radical
continuation of New Deal policies and cooperation with the Soviet Union. But Wallace won only
2 percent of the vote, partly because of perceived Communist influence in his campaign.
Truman beat back all three challenges -- from Wallace, Thurmond and his major opponent,
Republican Thomas Dewey -- and won, despite all predictions.
1968. The American Independence Party led by George Wallace, the
pro-segregation governor of Alabama. Wallace, who won just under 14 percent of the vote,
took votes away from both major party nominees, Democrat Hubert Humphrey and Republican
Richard Nixon. Nixon narrowly won the election. Wallace ran again in 1972 as a Democrat, but
his effort was effectively aborted when he was shot and seriously wounded while campaigning
in Maryland.
1980. The National Unity Movement led by former Illinois Congressman John
Anderson, a liberal-to-moderate Republican. Anderson won 7 percent of the vote, again
taking votes away from both major party nominees, Democrat Jimmy Carter and Republican
Ronald Reagan. In the end, however, Anderson did not dampen what turned out to be a
Reagan landslide.
1992. United We Stand America led by billionaire businessman Ross Perot. This
was the precursor group of the Reform Party. Perot's strong showing -- 19 percent of the vote --
was documented to have most hurt Republican nominee President George Bush. Democrat
nominee Bill Clinton won the election.
1996. Reform Party led by Ross Perot. Perot's showing was much weaker than in
1992 -- 8.5 percent of the vote -- but is still considered significant by third party standards.
Perot, however, did not significantly affect the presidential race since Bill Clinton won a
comfortable victory over Republican nominee Senator Bob Dole.
Third parties, while occasionally significant in presidential races, tend to be short-lived in
American politics. "It's very rare that a third party candidate lasts more than one election," says
historian Michael Beschloss. Perot is an exception, although it is considered unlikely that he
will be the Reform Party's nominee this year. "The general tradition in American history is that
these third parties are organized around usually a single person or issue or both, and usually
that does not extend to a long period of time," Beschloss adds.
While sometimes having significant impact at the presidential level, third parties historically
have had negligible effect in races for Congress. Only the two major parties have the
resources to mount campaigns in all the congressional districts across the United States and
that is unlikely to change, according to experts. Currently, there are only two independents in
the U.S. House of Representatives -- Bernard Sanders of Vermont, and Virgil Goode of
Virginia. All the rest are either Democrats or Republicans.